{"id":81756,"date":"2025-03-24T09:36:05","date_gmt":"2025-03-24T08:36:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/silver-cold-shower-as-a-wake-up-call-for-silver-bulls\/"},"modified":"2025-03-24T09:37:40","modified_gmt":"2025-03-24T08:37:40","slug":"silver-cold-shower-as-a-wake-up-call-for-silver-bulls","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/silver-cold-shower-as-a-wake-up-call-for-silver-bulls\/","title":{"rendered":"Silver \u2013 Cold Shower as a Wake-up Call for Silver Bulls"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>In recent weeks, the silver price has also risen significantly in the wake of the impressive gold rally. Despite this increase, however, the momentum has not been sufficient to reach the 12-year high of $34.89 achieved on October 22, 2024. <\/p>\n\n<p>At least the round mark of <strong>$34<\/strong> was briefly <strong>exceeded<\/strong> on Tuesday. However, a weekly closing price will not be achieved. Instead, precious metal prices are falling significantly just before the weekend.  <\/p>\n\n<p>While the <strong>gold price<\/strong> has been rushing from one <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.de\/gold-allzeithoch\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">all-time high<\/a> to the next since the beginning of the year, the <strong>silver price<\/strong> continues to follow only <strong>in its slipstream<\/strong>. Conversely, this also means that the <strong>rally<\/strong> in precious metal prices <strong>could continue<\/strong> in the coming weeks despite the overbought situation and the current pullback. <\/p>\n\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/bilder.gold.de\/images\/infothek\/2025\/comex_silberbestaende_21052025.jpg\" alt=\"COMEX Silver Inventories on March 21, 2025\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\"\/><small>COMEX Silver Inventories, as of March 21, 2025. Source: Inproved Analytics <\/small><\/p>\n\n<p>Regardless of the continued favorable fundamental situation, a similar bottleneck seems to be developing in the <strong>silver market<\/strong> as in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.de\/goldmarkt\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gold market<\/a> since December. The COMEX silver vaults are recording <strong>stronger inflows<\/strong>. Since the beginning of the month, 1,484 tons of physical silver have already been delivered! <\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Silver Coins<\/h2>\n\n<p>As a result, the <strong>silver inventories<\/strong> recorded by COMEX have grown to the <strong>highest level<\/strong> since data collection began in 1992 and have <strong>increased by 40%<\/strong> this quarter so far.<\/p>\n\n<p>This unprecedented increase reflects the ongoing <strong>market shift<\/strong> and <strong>arbitrage opportunities<\/strong> arising from price differences between the gold and silver markets in London and New York.<\/p>\n\n<p>While <strong>inventories at COMEX are rising<\/strong>, <strong>silver stocks in London have fallen to a record low<\/strong>. This divergence confirms the complex dynamics currently affecting global precious metal markets, including the impact of geopolitical factors and changing trade policies. <\/p>\n\n<p>We suspect that the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.de\/kurse\/silberpreis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">silver price<\/a> is facing a similarly steep rise as observed in the gold price since the end of January.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Silver in US Dollars &#8211; Daily Chart<\/h2>\n\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/bilder.gold.de\/images\/infothek\/2025\/silber_usdollar_21052025.png\" alt=\"Silver in US Dollars on March 21, 2025\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\"\/><small>Silver in US Dollars, daily chart from March 21, 2025. Source: Tradingview <\/small><\/p>\n\n<p>Driven by the strong <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.de\/kurse\/goldpreis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">gold price<\/a>, the <strong>silver price<\/strong> has <strong>increased<\/strong> by about 19% at its peak since the beginning of the year. However, this <strong>rise<\/strong> was much <strong>tougher<\/strong> than in the gold market. <\/p>\n\n<p>There were repeated pullbacks and sideways consolidations. Ultimately, however, <strong>silver quotations<\/strong> have managed to maintain themselves <strong>above<\/strong> the rising <strong>50-day moving average<\/strong> ($31.94) since the end of January. <\/p>\n\n<p>With this moving average behind them, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.de\/bulle-baer-hausse-baisse\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">silver bulls<\/a> fought their way up to $34.20. Accordingly, the next short-term target is the 12-year high of $34.89 from October 22.<\/p>\n\n<p>The price increase has brought the silver market closer to this 12-year high, but has also cost considerable strength. A <strong>new sell signal<\/strong> in the daily stochastic since Tuesday, as well as the <strong>overbought condition of the gold market<\/strong>, indicate a <strong>short-term intermediate correction<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n<p>Moreover, next week will see the <strong>expiration of COMEX option contracts<\/strong>. Additionally, about <strong>240,000 April gold contracts<\/strong> still need to be either <strong>sold<\/strong>, <strong>rolled<\/strong> into the next contract, or <strong>registered for delivery<\/strong>. <\/p>\n\n<p>Historically, issuers often use such phases to steer precious metal prices in a direction advantageous to them.<\/p>\n\n<p>Given the steep price increase, banks could benefit from lower prices, making a <strong>more significant pullback<\/strong> or a &#8220;cold shower&#8221; for <strong>precious metal prices<\/strong> in the next <strong>one to two weeks<\/strong> not surprising.<\/p>\n\n<p>Nevertheless, the <strong>silver price<\/strong> should be more or less in the <strong>starting blocks<\/strong> just in time for spring to begin its typical sprint on the home stretch.<\/p>\n\n<p>Since silver has so far only moved upwards in the slipstream of gold, the initiated pullback should therefore be limited both in terms of time and price and will be more of a cold shower than a real correction.<\/p>\n\n<p>Subsequently, the silver bulls should take command.<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>In summary<\/strong>, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.de\/kurse\/silberpreis\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">silver price<\/a> is still lagging behind gold. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.de\/kurse\/gold-silber-ratio\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gold\/Silver Ratio<\/a> is trading at <strong>91.4<\/strong>, once again making it clear how <strong>extremely undervalued<\/strong> <strong>silver<\/strong> still is. <\/p>\n\n<p>We suspect that the cold shower that has started will <strong>wake up the silver bulls<\/strong> and the breakout rally <strong>above $35<\/strong> will begin shortly. Then we will see if the strength of the silver bulls only reaches about $38, or if we are in for a spectacular catch-up rally towards $40 and perhaps even $50 and an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.de\/silber-allzeithoch\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">all-time high for silver<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n<p>Original article available at: https:\/\/www.gold.de\/artikel\/silber-kalte-dusche-als-weckruf-fuer-die-silberbullen\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In recent weeks, the silver price has also risen significantly in the wake of the impressive gold rally. Despite this increase, however, the momentum has not been sufficient to reach the 12-year high of $34.89 achieved on October 22, 2024. At least the round mark of $34 was briefly exceeded on Tuesday. However, a weekly [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":80376,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[223,216,219],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-81756","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chart-analyses","category-precious-metals","category-silver"],"acf":{"unternehmen":null,"angezeigter_autor":null,"weiterfuhrender_link":null},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81756","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=81756"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81756\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":81757,"href":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/81756\/revisions\/81757"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/80376"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=81756"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=81756"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/goldinvest.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=81756"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}